Russia will win in Ukraine if it holds the occupied territories, which contain key areas of industry and agriculture, this will weaken NATO, Kissinger believes. He also allowed other scenarios
The conflict in Ukraine can be resolved in three ways, depending on which one is implemented, NATO will weaken or get stronger, former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger said in an interview with The Spatator.< /p>
- The first scenario envisages that the Russian troops will remain in their positions by this day, thus, they will “get 20% of Ukraine and most of the Donbass, the main industrial and agricultural areas and a strip of land along the Black Sea.” Kissinger felt that such an option would be a victory for Russia, while the significance of NATO would be “not as decisive” as previously thought. from Crimea— territory, which she took control before the start of the special operation. According to the former US Secretary of State, in this case “there will be a question of war with Russia itself.”
- According to the third scenario, if Kyiv is able to “keep Russia” and the line of confrontation “pushed back” to the borders before the start of the special operation, this will mean the loss of official Moscow, Kissinger believes. He explained that in this case, Ukraine will be rearmed, close ties will be established between it and NATO, or the country itself will become part of the alliance.
According to Kissinger, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky decided to implement the third option. The former US Secretary of State considered that the same scenario would be a “significant achievement”; for Western countries, NATO will be further strengthened by the addition of Finland and Sweden, and Ukraine will have “the largest ground forces in Europe.”
“For the first time in recent history, Russia will have to face the need to coexist with Europe as as a single whole, and not with America as the main link in the defense of Europe with its nuclear forces, — Kissinger is sure.
Kissinger served as National Security Adviser to the President from 1969 to 1975. From 1973 to 1977 he served as Secretary of State. He turned 99 on May 27, 2022.
At the end of May, Kissinger called on Western countries to influence the Ukrainian authorities in order to obtain concessions from them in negotiations with Russia. In his opinion, this would prevent the emergence of “shocks and tensions” that would be difficult to overcome. “Ideally, the dividing line should be a return to the previous state of affairs. The continuation of the war after this will not be for the freedom of Ukraine, but will be a new war against Russia itself, — he explained.
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In Kyiv, Kissinger's proposal was criticized. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, describing the situation, said that Kissinger “emerges from the deep past”; and offers to give Russia “a piece of Ukraine.” He considered that Kissinger was allegedly not in 2022 in Davos, but in 1938 in Munich. At that time, an agreement was signed there between Germany, Great Britain, Italy and France, according to which the Sudetenland of Czechoslovakia was annexed to Germany.
After his speech, Kissinger ended up in the database of the Ukrainian website « “Peacemaker” (recognized as extremist and blocked in Russia) with the wording “an accomplice in crimes against Ukraine.” The representative of the Russian Foreign Ministry, Maria Zakharova, suggested that the reason for this decision was “the presence of intelligence.”