It can give them an “informational and strategic effect”
Ukrainian Armed Forces have been forming large groups in the south of the country and have been doing this for the past few months, as Russian political scientist Rostislav said Ishchenko. He believes that Kyiv is preparing a counteroffensive in the south, since in other regions an offensive for the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be extremely problematic.
Photo: Global Look Press
Ishchenko told Voenniy delo that the Armed Forces of Ukraine made several attempts to break through Volnovakha to Mariupol, but he sees no point in such actions. According to the expert, even if the Ukrainian troops manage to create a strike group in the Zaporozhye region, it will end up on the left bank of the Dnieper and will only be able to reach the coast of the Sea of Azov.
The specialist believes that in the best case for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, they will be able to besiege some large city. However, as Ishchenko noted, if the Russian Armed Forces took Mariupol for three months, then Ukraine obviously will not take it in three days. Thus, according to the political scientist, without the possibility of taking Mariupol by storm and operational space, the group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be destroyed by additional units of Russian troops that will be transferred in that direction.
Ishchenko is convinced that the situation will develop in a similar way in the event of an offensive by the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Kharkov or Donetsk directions. According to the expert, the Russian military will be grateful if the command of the Ukrainian army withdraws forces from the fortified areas and throws them into the attack.
The political scientist added that the only direction where the Armed Forces of Ukraine could receive any “information and strategic effect” is the south direction. Ishchenko believes that if the Ukrainian group manages to reduce the Kherson bridgehead and lay siege to the city, they will begin to claim that they were able to stop the enemy, and will continue the offensive next spring. The expert concluded that this fully suits US President Joe Biden, who is interested in continuing the conflict in Ukraine, as well as Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelensky, as this will help boost the morale of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
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